WORLD ECONOMY AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS
The objective of our article is to analyze the risks of a new coronavirus pandemic with impact on the dynamics of the modern world economy, as well as to assess the corresponding consequences and risks that will lead to the formation of a new model for organizing interactions in international trade, foreign direct investment and a revision of the determinants of global economic growth. The nature of the impact of the current pandemic on the existing system of international economic relations, in contrast to the previous global crises, is unprecedentedly tough, which has led to a number of contradictions in the development of global value chains, international trade flows, and the transformation of external financing conditions. The author believes that the most important challenge of the pandemic is not only the recovery of the economy and economic activity, maintaining the growth rate of labor productivity, but also in preventing the growth of inequality, in shaping the ability to manage global risks and imbalances. The trends towards the localization of international trade and the repatriation of global value chains act as a risk of a significant slowdown in international exchange, which contradicts the canons and strategies for the development of foreign economic relations of those countries that ensured their economic growth by expanding participation in international trade and attracting foreign direct investment. According to the author, a new wave of international economic cooperation between countries can bring a new impetus to the development of international trade, capital movement and the dynamics of economic mobility.
The paper describes factors that lead to the United States trade restrictions, particularly export control at the end of the second decade; the challenges of the United States policy, prospects for international trade relations. World trade is expected to grow this year after reducing in the previous one. The outlook for trade development remains with a large degree of uncertainty due to economic, financial risks, effects of struggle against pandemia; national policies. The US trade restriction policies are in focus. Besides imposing import tariffs; controlling exports of software, sensitive equipment, technology has been transformed under Trump’s administration in the context of national security, foreign policy objectives. Limiting access to the most sensitive U.S. technology has been putting in practice along with new export controls on software; restrictions on the emerging and foundational technologies. Export Control Reform that was passed by Congress and signed into law by President Trump has determined a new stage in US policy and may bring more uncertainty as concerning relations with other countries.
The forecasts of the economic development for the next years vary among countries and projections depend greatly on how long the pandemic and social distancing will take place and on the measures that are taken place for increasing social and economic activities, commerce. Meanwhile ratings of US leadership are declining, with the worst results in Europe. The rapid spread of the virus that causes COVID-19 made US leading country in confirmed cases and created a new reality for the national economy. As to the US the fall of real gross domestic product in 2020 is expected around the average of OECD countries, more than in Japan; less than in in Great Britain, Italy, France. Unemployment rate is projected going down in 2021 (comparing with 2020) but remaining still high. Experts are examining possible outcomes of coronavirus spreading and its consequences for the dynamics of GDP, unemployment, international trade and world investment. The projections seem not very bright for the next year; and it will take time for returning to pre pandemic indicators. While forecasts of declining international trade show the fall in world merchandise exports would be large, the estimates show beginning growth in exports next year.
The article focuses on the analysis of the global video game industry. The structure of the gaming industry, which includes manufacturers from around the world, is considered. The study showed the controversial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global video game industry. The units of the global video games industry affected by the introduction of quarantine measures and self-isolation have been highlighted: cancelation or postponement of the events to 2021. Among the positive changes are the following: increased sales of video games, an increase in the number of users and the number of hours of online games. During the research, general scientific methods were used: analysis, synthesis, classification, historical method. The quantitative method was used to analyze the dynamics of economic indicators of the global video game market. The graphical presentation made it possible to visualize the obtained data. The source of information during the research was monographs and articles of foreign and domestic scientists; data from analytical agencies in the field of video games in the world; Internet resources specializing in market analysis and consumer behavior; analytical data of the World Economic Forum, etc. The scientific novelty of the study consists in a comprehensive analysis of the gaming industry, which has not been conducted before, in the unprecedented conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The issue of overexploitation in developing countries in the era of Global value chains (GVC ) is directly related to the question of the relationship between the economic and social upgrading of countries in GVC. The relevance of this topic is due to its narrow representation in the scientific field, as well as the persistence of a low standard of labor force’s living in developing countries, despite the growth in labor productivity and the transition to the production of goods with higher added value. This article examines the problems faced by low-and medium-skilled workers in developing countries, including extremely low wages, social insecurity, and gender inequality. Often the reason for the preservation of this situation is the low price of goods, which is set by the purchasing companies that govern the GVC. International organizations and the media systematically attract public attention to this problem, which has led to the establishment of control over working conditions by the parent companies of the GVC. However, in many industries, the workers’ situation is still unsatisfactory, which indicates that the measures taken in this direction are insufficient. According to the author, significant improvement of working conditions is difficult without the participation of industry and inter-industry trade unions of employees.
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
The conclusion of bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) in the 21st century continues to be an important trend of international economic relations. The countries of the Eurasian Economic Union also joined these processes by concluding FTAs with Vietnam, Iran, Singapore and Serbia. The Eurasian Economic Commission has initiated a feasibility study of signing an FTA with the next partners: Indonesia and Mongolia. This article discusses the likely consequences of the conclusion of an FTA with Indonesia. The authors analyze the similarities and differences between our economies and the extent of their complementarity. A review of the structure and some trends of mutual trade is carried out. The article provides estimates of the possible quantitative effects of the liberalization of trade in goods between the three key EAEU countries (Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan) and Indonesia. The authors use the partial equilibrium model SMART (from the WITS toolkit) and the calculations of budget losses in the case of mutual zeroing of import duties based on the International Trade Center database (Trademap.org).The probable consequences of liberalization for the main sectors of mutual trade are calculated. Conclusions are made regarding the economic feasibility of liberalizing trade in goods between the EAEU and Indonesia.
The article is devoted to the study of general and special characteristics of the condition and state regulation of agriculture in three East Asian countries: China, Japan, and South Korea. It is determined that there are several historical similarities associated with the Asian way of production, low land use, high dependence on food imports, rapid urbanization and high population density. The topic of food security is relevant for all three countries. The comparative analysis made it possible to identify and specify important differences in the process and results of the modernization of agriculture in the three countries. Especially in terms of the level and speed of technical and technological development, domestic state support for agriculture, foreign trade policy, changes in the trade balance for agricultural goods, the inclusion of countries in the import of GM seeds and the production of organic food, positions in the ratings of the global food security index. The article focuses on the issues of commercialization of biotechnological crops and China's strategy aimed at future global dominance in the field of agricultural science and technology. Using the mechanism of international corporate mergers and acquisitions, the Chinese company with state participation entered the top five world leaders in the production of GM seeds and IT platforms for precision farming.
The expansion of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economic capacity appears to be driven by digital factors. Current research analyses the digitalization processes in ASEAN, determines the digitalization strategy for the integration block, provides with the relevant dynamics of digitalization level indicators. The analysis of digital indicators revealed the rapidly growing level of dissemination of information and communication technologies and the dynamic development of the digital economy as a whole. Despite ASEAN's digital potential, a number of problematic issues remained, such as government regulation, protection against digital fraud, and protection of intellectual property rights. A successful initiative for the digitalization development in the Asian Pacific region could be the development of an appropriate legal framework, the development of transport infrastructure, the public-private partnership tools usage and budgetary incentives. For ASEAN member countries leadership in the digital race it seems advisable to organize training sessions, create jobs in digital industries, develop social impact bonds (SIB) projects, and create a global digital ecosystem.
FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Based on the conducted research of Danish multinational companies, it was revealed that the organization of their work is characterized by strategies for expanding and entering foreign markets through the opening of production facilities. The reason for this is the small size of the Danish domestic market, the high demand for the products of the companies abroad, and the particular geographical location. The Russian market contains many opportunities for Danish companies to increase the client base, improve sales channels, and convenient location of production both due to the geographical and economic characteristics of location (the possibility of duty-free transportation of goods within the EAEU) and due to access to resources. At the same time, the Russian side is interested in the inflow of foreign direct investment, the creation of new workplaces, especially in remote regions of the country, the study and implementation of new methods of management and organization of production. An important factor is the presence of special economic zones, the advantages of which a foreign company can use. This article examines business projects that could be promising in the context of sanctions restrictions and are beneficial to both parties. Particular attention in the article is paid to the pharmaceutical sector, logistics services, and the energy sector.
CUSTOMS SUPPORT OF FOREIGN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
In the world trade today, the share of goods containing intellectual property objects is increasing from year to year. That’s mainly because the most developed countries prefer to export high-tech and knowledge-intensive products that use the most modern technologies. Such, the intellectual component has become one of the main components in the price of consumer market goods. With growth of trade, the volume of counterfeit products is increasing, falsification mechanisms are being improved, new challenges are emerging with regard to the protection of intellectual property in emergency situations. All these problems require timely and appropriate solution. That is why control over the movement of such goods, as well as the correct calculation of their customs value, is becoming one of the priority areas of the activity of the customs authorities in the Russian Federation. These facts determine the relevance of the topic of the article. This article discusses the issues related to the control of the turnover of goods moved and sold in violation of the rights of the copyright holders, as well as their customs value, which is subsequently reflected in the amount of customs payments payable when goods are moved across the customs border of the Eurasian Economic Union. The mechanisms to improve the control over the calculation of the customs value of goods containing intellectual property objects have been determined.
ISSN 2414-4649 (Online)