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THE MAIN APPROACHES TO ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF NON-TARIFF MEASURES ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE

https://doi.org/10.21686/2410-7395-2020-3-97-112

Abstract

The article deals with analysis of the main approaches to assessing non-tariff measures of government foreign trade regulation on foreign trade indicators. The article lists the factors which make it difficult to solve the problem: diversity of non-tariff measures, their using not only at the border but also within the country, effect uncertainty and frequent lack of quantification of such measures. It is also noted that non-tariff measures effects are usually determined by assessing changes in volumes and terms of trade with various methods. The frequency analysis method defines the coverage of imported goods by non-tariff measures as a share in the volume of imports or in the number of commodity items. The price gap assessment method defines the changes in the in-country prices under the influence of non-tariff measures. Survey method allows to obtain various estimates of these measures effects from business, index analysis method – to calculate index assessments of non-tariff measures effects, including based on survey data. Econometric method estimates the qualitative effects of non-tariff measures, including changes in the volume of exports or imports. The article considers each of these methods with the highlighting of their advantages and disadvantages.

About the Author

R. G. Volkov
The Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation

Roman G. Volkov, Senior Expert at the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting of Research Associate

47 Nakhimovsy prospect, Moscow, 117418, Russian Federation



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For citations:


Volkov R.G. THE MAIN APPROACHES TO ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF NON-TARIFF MEASURES ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE. International Trade and Trade Policy. 2020;(3):97-112. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2410-7395-2020-3-97-112

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