mttpМеждународная торговля и торговая политикаInternational Trade and Trade Policy2410-73952414-4649ФГБОУ ВО "Российский экономический университет им. Г.В. Плеханова"10.21686/2410-7395-2025-1-5-28mttp-751Research ArticleМИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ОТНОШЕНИЯWORLD ECONOMY AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONSТрансформация международной торговли в условиях современных шоков развития мировой экономикиTransformation of International Trade in the Context of Modern ShocksСмирновЕ. Н.SmirnovE. N.

Евгений Николаевич Смирнов, доктор экономических наук, профессор, заведующий кафедрой мировой экономики и международных экономических отношений

109542, Москва, Рязанский проспект, д. 99

Evgenii N. Smirnov, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Head of World Economy and International Economic Relations Department

99 Ryazan Avenue, Moscow, 109542

Smirnov_en@mail.ruГосударственный университет управленияРоссияState University of ManagementRussian Federation202522032025111526Copyright © Смирнов Е.Н., 20252025Смирнов Е.Н.Smirnov E.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://mttp.rea.ru/jour/article/view/751

В настоящем исследовании приведена оценка механизмов и направлений трансформации международной торговли в условиях современных вызовов развития мировой экономики. Анализ новейших трендов в динамике глобальной торговли свидетельствует об усилении ее неоднородности в разрезе стран-участниц и торгуемых товаров, что во многом связано с ростом применения новых ограничительных мер в торговле. Сформулированы ключевые факторы, воздействующие на международную торговлю в контексте усиления геополитической напряженности в мире. Обсуждены дискуссионные вопросы по поводу формирования нового режима международной торговли, что позволило сделать выводы о постепенном ее отходе от приоритетов либерализма и экономической глобализации. Определены новые детерминанты трансформации международной торговли вследствие более агрессивной торговой политики и с учетом растущей концентрации экспортных рынков. Показана особая роль волатильности товарных сырьевых рынков в трансформации современной международной торговли.

This study provides an assessment of the mechanisms and directions of transformation of international trade in the context of modern challenges of global economic development. Analysis of the latest trends in the dynamics of global trade indicates an increase in its heterogeneity in the context of participating countries and traded goods, which is largely due to the growing use of new restrictive measures in trade. The key factors affecting international trade in the context of increasing geopolitical tensions in the world are formulated. Controversial issues regarding the formation of a new international trade regime are discussed, which allowed us to draw conclusions about its gradual departure from the priorities of liberalism and economic globalization. New determinants of the transformation of international trade are identified due to a more aggressive trade policy and taking into account the growing concentration of export markets. The special role of the volatility of commodity raw materials markets in the transformation of modern international trade is shown.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.