mttpМеждународная торговля и торговая политикаInternational Trade and Trade Policy2410-73952414-4649ФГБОУ ВО "Российский экономический университет им. Г.В. Плеханова"10.21686/2410-7395-2023-2-152-171mttp-606Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА ЗАРУБЕЖНЫХ СТРАНECONOMY OF FOREIGN COUNTRIESМЕТОДИЧЕСКИЙ ПОДХОД К ОЦЕНКЕ ВЛИЯНИЯ МЕР НЕТАРИФНОГО РЕГУЛИРОВАНИЯ НА ИМПОРТ ЕАЭСMETHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF NON-TARIFF REGULATION MEASURES ON EAEU IMPORTShttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5758-4527ИльясовП. В.IlyasovP. V.

Петр Владимирович Ильясов, ведущий экономист

620014

ул. Московская, д. 29

Екатеринбург

Petr V. Ilyasov, Lead economist

620014

29 Moskovskaya Street

620014

29 Moskovskaya Street

Yekaterinburg

tr1k-y@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4975-0905АндрееваЕ. Л.AndreevaE. L.

Елена Леонидовна Андреева, руководитель центра, ведущий научный сотрудник

620014

ул. Московская, д. 29

Екатеринбург

Elena L. Andreeva, Head of the Center, Leading researcher

620014

29 Moskovskaya Street

Yekaterinburg

elenandr@mail.ruИнститут экономики Уральского отделения Российской академии наукРоссияInstitute of Economics, the Ural Branch of Russian Academy of SciencesRussian Federation20231106202392152171Copyright © Ильясов П.В., Андреева Е.Л., 20232023Ильясов П.В., Андреева Е.Л.Ilyasov P.V., Andreeva E.L.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://mttp.rea.ru/jour/article/view/606

   Актуальность статьи обусловлена необходимостью адаптации внешней торговли ЕАЭС к условиям санкционных ограничений со стороны западных стран, переориентации и диверсификации внешнеторговых потоков ЕАЭС, в том числе с задействованием инструментов нетарифного регулирования.

   Цель: проведение оценки влияния нетарифных мер (НТМ) на импорт ЕАЭС для разработки рекомендаций по развитию механизма нетарифного регулирования.

   Обосновано изменение роли НТМ в международной торговой политике, обусловленное замещением тарифов мерами нетарифного регулирования в качестве основного инструмента протекционистской политики. Проанализирована динамика и структура развития НТМ за период с 2015 по 2021 гг., в том числе распределение НТМ по товарным группам и странам. Обозначены мировые тенденции и проблемы в сфере оценки эффектов нетарифного регулирования, а также проблемы, специфичные для ЕАЭС. Обоснована и апробирована методика оценки влияния НТМ на импорт с учетом особенностей ЕАЭС. Предложена эконометрическая модель, позволяющая выявить влияние отдельных мер нетарифного регулирования, применяемых странами ЕАЭС в отношении импорта из третьих стран.

   The relevance of the article is due to the need to adapt the foreign trade of the EAEU to the conditions of sanctions restrictions on the part of western countries, reorientation and diversification of the foreign trade flows of the EAEU, including with the use of non-tariff regulation tools.

   Purpose: to assess the impact of NTMs on EAEU imports in order to develop recommendations for the development of a non-tariff regulation mechanism.

   The change in the role of NTMs in international trade policy is substantiated. The replacement of tariffs by measures of non-tariff regulation as the main instrument of protectionist policy is conditioned. The dynamics and structure of the development of NTMs for the period from 2015 to 2021 are analyzed, including the distribution of NTMs by product groups and countries. World trends and problems in the field of assessing the effects of non-tariff regulation, as well as problems specific to the EAEU, are outlined. The methodology for assessing the impact of NTMs on imports has been substantiated and tested, taking into account the specifics of the EAEU. An econometric model is proposed to identify the impact of individual non-tariff regulation measures applied by the EAEU countries in relation to imports from third countries.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.