mttpМеждународная торговля и торговая политикаInternational Trade and Trade Policy2410-73952414-4649ФГБОУ ВО "Российский экономический университет им. Г.В. Плеханова"10.21686/2410-7395-2022-1-9-26mttp-501Research ArticleМИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ОТНОШЕНИЯWORLD ECONOMY AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONSМеждународная торговля: сигналы устойчивого восстановления и парадоксы регулированияINTERNATIONAL TRADE: PARADOXES AND SIGNALS OF A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERYСмирновЕ. Н.EvgeniiN.

Евгений Николаевич Смирнов - доктор экономических наук, профессор, заместитель заведующего кафедрой мировой экономики и международных экономических отношений ГУУ.

109542, Москва, Рязанский проспект, д. 99

Evgenii N. Smirnov - Doctor of Economics, Professor, Deputy Head of World Economy and International Economic Relations Department of the SUM.

99 Ryazansky Avenue, 109542, Moscow

Smirnov_en@mail.ruГосударственный университет управленияРоссияSmirnov State University of ManagementRussian Federation20221404202281926Copyright © Смирнов Е.Н., 20222022Смирнов Е.Н.Evgenii N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://mttp.rea.ru/jour/article/view/501

Структурные изменения, происходящие на современном этапе развития международной торговли, ведут к качественному обновлению ее архитектуры, затрагивая многие аспекты международного разделения труда.

Цель исследования – оценка возможностей и параметров восстановления международной торговли, выявление проблем, связанных с многосторонним регулированием международного обмена, усложнившимся вследствие кризиса, вызванного пандемией коронавируса. Было установлено, что коллапс международной торговли затормозил работу многих цепочек создания стоимости на глобальном уровне, особенно в сфере услуг. Однако не стоит идеализировать тенденцию разворота международного обмена в сторону деглобализации, поскольку здесь есть естественные ограничения, связанные с традиционными конкурентными преимуществами и стратегиями устойчивого экономического развития крупнейших стран-экспортеров и импортеров. В целом мы отмечаем медленное восстановление международной торговли по сравнению с восстановлением мировой экономики в целом, что по-прежнему обусловлено давлением продолжающихся карантинных ограничений. Дополнительным стрессом для дальнейшего развития международного обмена выступают торговые и геополитические конфликты между отдельными странами. Вместе с тем возникший кризис позволяет с нового ракурса рассмотреть возможности участия в мегарегиональных торговых соглашениях с точки зрения восстановления торговых отношений между странами.

Structural changes taking place at the present stage of development of international trade lead to a qualitative renewal of its architecture, affecting many aspects of the international division of labor. The purpose of the study is to assess the possibilities and parameters of the restoration of international trade, to identify problems associated with the multilateral regulation of international exchange, which has become more complicated due to the crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic. The collapse of international trade was found to have put a brake on many value chains at the global level, especially in services. However, one should not idealize the trend of international exchange turning towards deglobalization, since there are natural limitations associated with traditional competitive advantages and sustainable economic development strategies of the largest exporting and importing countries. Overall, we note a slow recovery in international trade compared to the recovery in the global economy as a whole, which continues to be driven by the pressure of ongoing quarantine restrictions. Additional stress for the further development of international exchange are trade and geopolitical conflicts between individual countries. At the same time, the crisis that has arisen allows us to consider from a new perspective the possibilities of participating in interregional trade agreements from the point of view of restoring trade relations between countries.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.